Bridging the Trust Gap: Explainability and the Future of Agentic AI

Artificial intelligence is rapidly evolving from a set of tools that assist humans to a network of autonomous agents capable of independent decision-making and action. This transition to a more agentic form of AI promises unprecedented levels of efficiency and innovation, but it also presents a significant challenge: the AI trust deficit. As AI systems become more autonomous, the "black box" problem, the inability for humans to understand how AI models arrive at their conclusions, intensifies, creating a crisis of confidence that could hinder the adoption of these powerful technologies. To unlock the full potential of agentic AI, we must bridge this trust gap through a combination of explainability, robust governance, and a fundamental shift in how we design and interact with intelligent systems.

The Pervasive Problem of the AI Trust Deficit

The trust deficit in AI is not a new phenomenon, but it has become more pronounced with the rise of complex, opaque models. A recent McKinsey report revealed that a staggering 91% of respondents doubt their organizations are "very prepared" to implement and scale AI safely and responsibly. This lack of confidence is a major impediment to the widespread adoption of AI, as trust is the bedrock upon which successful human-AI collaboration is built. If users do not trust the outputs of an AI system, they will not use it, regardless of its technical capabilities. This is particularly true in high-stakes domains such as healthcare, finance, and autonomous transportation, where the consequences of an erroneous or biased AI decision can be severe. The financial services industry, for instance, has been an early adopter of AI for fraud detection and algorithmic trading, but the lack of transparency in these systems has led to regulatory scrutiny and public backlash. Similarly, in healthcare, the use of AI for diagnosis and treatment planning has been met with skepticism from both clinicians and patients, who are reluctant to cede control to a machine that they do not understand.

The root of the AI trust deficit lies in the "black box" nature of many advanced AI models. These systems, particularly those based on deep learning, can be so complex that even their creators cannot fully explain the reasoning behind their outputs. This lack of transparency creates a sense of unease and uncertainty, as users are asked to trust a system that they cannot understand. As one article in Nature puts it, "trust is built when the trustor can anticipate the trustee's behavior to know if it matches its desires" [2]. When the inner workings of an AI system are opaque, it becomes impossible to anticipate its behavior, and trust erodes. This is not just a matter of intellectual curiosity. It is a fundamental requirement for accountability. If an AI system makes a mistake, it is essential to be able to understand why that mistake occurred in order to prevent it from happening again. Without this level of transparency, it is impossible to hold anyone accountable for the actions of an AI system, which further undermines trust.

The Power of Explainable AI (XAI)

Explainable AI (XAI) has emerged as a critical field of research and development aimed at addressing the "black box" problem. XAI seeks to create AI systems that can provide clear and understandable explanations for their decisions and actions. This is not simply about making the code of an AI model available. It is about providing intuitive, human-readable justifications for its behavior. "Explainability is more about the logic or reasoning behind individual AI decisions, making the AI's processes accessible and relatable to end-users".

The benefits of XAI are manifold. By providing insights into the inner workings of AI models, XAI can help to:

Mitigate operational risk: XAI can help to identify and correct biases in AI models, reducing the risk of discriminatory or unfair outcomes. In financial services, for example, XAI can be used to ensure that loan application decisions are not based on protected characteristics such as race or gender. By providing a clear explanation for each decision, XAI can help to ensure that the model is fair and equitable.

Ensure regulatory compliance: As governments around the world begin to regulate the use of AI, XAI will be essential for demonstrating compliance with new laws and regulations. The EU AI Act, for example, imposes specific transparency requirements for high-risk AI systems [1]. XAI can help organizations to meet these requirements by providing a clear audit trail of their AI models' decision-making processes.

Foster continuous improvement: By providing a deeper understanding of how AI models work, XAI can help developers to identify and fix errors, leading to more robust and reliable systems. For example, if an AI model is making a high number of false positives, XAI can help to identify the root cause of the problem and suggest a solution.

Build stakeholder confidence: By making AI systems more transparent and understandable, XAI can help to build trust with customers, employees, and the public. When users can see the reasoning behind an AI's decisions, they are more likely to trust the system and to adopt it.

The Rise of Agentic AI and Closed-Loop Optimization

While XAI is a crucial step towards building trust in AI, the emergence of agentic AI systems presents a new set of challenges. Agentic AI refers to autonomous systems that can act independently to achieve goals, without the need for constant human oversight. These systems are not simply passive tools. They are active agents that can perceive their environment, make decisions, and take actions to achieve their objectives. As an IBM article on the topic states, "AI agents can encompass a wide range of functions beyond natural language processing including decision-making, problem-solving, interacting with external environments and performing actions". This represents a significant shift from the traditional paradigm of AI, where systems are designed to perform specific, pre-defined tasks. Agentic AI systems are more like autonomous employees, capable of learning, adapting, and taking initiative.

One of the key features of agentic AI is the concept of closed-loop optimization. This refers to the ability of an AI system to continuously learn and adapt its behavior based on feedback from its environment. This creates a self-improving cycle, where the AI agent becomes more effective over time as it gains more experience. A TM Forum guide on the topic describes this as a system that can "autonomously perceive, decide, act, and adapt within self-contained feedback cycles" [5]. This is a powerful capability, as it allows AI systems to operate in dynamic and uncertain environments, where it is not possible to pre-program a solution for every possible contingency.

This combination of autonomy and continuous learning is what makes agentic AI so powerful. It has the potential to revolutionize a wide range of industries, from manufacturing and logistics to healthcare and finance. However, it also raises significant concerns about trust and control. If an AI agent is making decisions and taking actions on its own, how can we be sure that it is acting in our best interests? How can we trust a system that is constantly changing and evolving?

The Trust Challenge in Agentic Systems

The trust challenge in agentic systems is a complex and multifaceted problem. It is not simply a matter of making the AI's decision-making process more transparent. It is about ensuring that the AI's goals are aligned with our own, and that it will not take actions that are harmful or undesirable. This is particularly true in systems where the AI is given a high degree of autonomy, such as in autonomous vehicles or military drones. The potential for unintended consequences is a major concern. An AI agent may be given a seemingly benign goal, but it may pursue that goal in a way that has unforeseen and negative side effects. For example, an AI agent tasked with optimizing a factory's production process might decide to shut down a safety system in order to increase output, leading to a dangerous work environment. This is not a hypothetical scenario. There have already been several high-profile cases of AI systems causing harm due to unintended consequences.

Another challenge is the potential for "value drift." This occurs when an AI agent's values and goals diverge from our own over time. This can happen as the AI learns and adapts to its environment, and it can be difficult to detect and correct. This is a particularly pressing concern in long-lived AI systems that are designed to operate for years or even decades. For example, an AI agent designed to provide personalized news recommendations might gradually learn to prioritize sensationalist or extremist content, as this is what generates the most engagement. This could have a corrosive effect on public discourse and social cohesion.

Bridging the Gap: Building Trust in Agentic AI

Building trust in agentic AI will require a multi-pronged approach that combines technical solutions with robust governance and a new way of thinking about human-AI collaboration. Some of the key elements of this approach include:

Explainability by design: Explainability cannot be an afterthought; it must be built into the design of agentic AI systems from the ground up. This means creating systems that can not only explain their decisions, but also their goals, their values, and their reasoning processes. This will require a new generation of XAI techniques that are specifically designed for agentic systems.

Human-in-the-loop governance: While agentic AI systems are designed to be autonomous, there will always be a need for human oversight and control. This means creating governance structures that allow humans to monitor the behavior of AI agents, to intervene when necessary, and to shut them down if they become a threat. This will require a new set of tools and interfaces that allow humans to interact with AI agents in a natural and intuitive way.

Value alignment: We must develop methods for ensuring that the values and goals of AI agents are aligned with our own. This is a complex and ongoing research challenge, but it is essential for building long-term trust in agentic AI. This will require a combination of technical solutions, such as inverse reinforcement learning, and social solutions, such as public deliberation and debate.

Robust testing and validation: Before deploying agentic AI systems in the real world, we must subject them to rigorous testing and validation to ensure that they are safe, reliable, and effective. This includes testing for a wide range of potential failure modes, including unintended consequences and value drift. This will require a new set of testing and validation techniques that are specifically designed for agentic systems.

The Future of Trust and AI

The transition to a more agentic form of AI is both exciting and daunting. It has the potential to unlock unprecedented levels of progress and prosperity, but it also presents significant risks. The AI trust deficit is a real and growing problem, and it is one that we must address if we are to realize the full potential of this transformative technology.

By embracing explainability, developing robust governance structures, and fostering a new culture of human-AI collaboration, we can bridge the trust gap and create a future where humans and AI work together to solve some of the world's most pressing challenges. The path forward will not be easy, but it is a journey that we must embark on together. The future of AI is not just about building more powerful and intelligent systems; it is about building systems that we can trust.

References

[1] McKinsey & Company. "Building AI trust: The key role of explainability." November 26, 2024. https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/quantumblack/our-insights/building-ai-trust-the-key-role-of-explainability

[2] Afroogh, S., Akbari, A., Malone, E., Kargar, M., & Alambeigi, H. "Trust in AI: progress, challenges, and future directions." Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 11(1), 1-21. 2024. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41599-024-04044-8

[3] IBM. "What Are AI Agents?" https://www.ibm.com/think/topics/ai-agents

[4] TM Forum. "IG1414 Agentic AI Closed Loops v1.0.0." May 19, 2025. https://www.tmforum.org/resources/guidebook/ig1414-agentic-ai-closed-loops-v1-0-0/